Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Current Status of UAV's

Currently there are many applications for UAV's in the civilian side of the world. For the most part, they are used for flying around and capturing photography or video. Whether it be aerial pictures of a house for sale for a real estate agency, or someone wanting to capture a unique angle for a home made movie or sporting event. There are other uses, like drone racing leagues, where courses are set up and contestants fly their drones through the course as fast as they can. As of now there are minimal regulations on drone operations. As of August 29th, 2016, the FAA's most updated rulings went into effect for drone operations within certain airspace. It is designed to slowly step the traffic requests into busier airspace. All drones that are between 0.55lbs and 55lbs must now be registered with the FAA before outdoor flight can occur. Drone operations must take place under FAA Part 107 regulations. If you cannot comply with the FAA Part 107 regulations of operation, you may apply for a waiver to conduct your drone flight anyways.

      "If your proposed operation doesn’t quite comply with Part 107 regulations, you’ll need to apply for a waiver of some restrictions. You’ll have to prove the proposed flight will be conducted safely under a waiver." (FAA, 2016)

I do believe that eventually we will see UAVs will be integrated into the National Airspace System, but only certain size drones or drones with certain capabilities. I would expect them to be regulated similarly to how large scale RC aircraft and large scale rocketeering is regulated. I would hope that the very small drones that you can find at Target and that obviously pose no threat to anybody would remain relatively unregulated. I would expect the regulations to step in when drones reach certain weight, power, altitude, and payload capabilities. I would expect color and shape of drones to be indicative of their purposes. Larger drones or drones that have the capability to pick up and move objects (Amazon, anyone?) would have to be registered within the NAS and set on specific routes and altitudes. But if Tommy wants to throw his drone in his pocket and have some fun in the backyard, I don't expect that would cause any issues.

UAVs have done wonders for the military in the last decade (and more). Effective use of UAVs allow us to remove boots from the ground and gather intelligence from the air. Military drones fly above the action, usually relatively quietly, and can provide real time pictures for use in surveillance and target acquisition. Some of the weaponized drones can even lock on and eliminate a target, without ever having a pilot or squad on the ground in any danger. Military drones can also stay in the air for a very long time, then rotate out when needed. They have the power to provide a watching eye over ground troops at all times of the day.

     "Drones are used in situations where manned flight is considered too risky or difficult. They provide troops with a 24-hour "eye in the sky", seven days a week. Each aircraft can stay aloft for up to 17 hours at a time, loitering over an area and sending back real-time imagery of activities on the ground." (BBC, 2012)


Military drone strikes have been incredibly efficient over the years. While some stories leak out about failed  missions or incorrect targets, for the most part, military drones offer a very feared attack and surveillance strategy that keeps the fewest amount of US lives in harms way.
Like any emerging industry, there are always new and budding jobs within the UAV industry. One current job exists in the Government sector in Arizona as an Air Vehicle Operator:


     "The AVO is responsible for coordinating ground and flight operations including mission planning, execution, and debriefing; safe operation of the aircraft; aircrew resource management; and customer coordination. A professional demeanor, strong work ethic, and eagerness to expand a growing platform is required. The selected individual will be comfortable working with an experimental program, able to voice recommendations for manual updates, and flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in mission tasking."

Job listing available at: http://www.indeed.com/cmp/AUV-Flight-Services/jobs/Unmanned-Aerial-System-1444062f757e747b?sjdu=QwrRXKrqZ3CNX5W-O9jEveR_AIaKfI8iSRXcPFtWcv0TXfaZPrK74b73rBGDknKJ8OMviyl66480IdNY-toMtNWR60FZkPh_UnjxDzoXBxevFM7lv656wKe-SmARmliZiEgtd59lgZPAe4z_t6CX6Q




Resources

FAA - The FAA's New Drone Rules Are Effective Today. (2016, August 29). Retrieved December 10, 2016, from http://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId=86305

BBC - News, B. (2012, January 31). Drones: What are they and how do they work? Retrieved December 10, 2016, from http://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-10713898

Flying Cheap

Depending on who you ask in the aviation industry, you will hear many different answers regarding a "looming pilot shortage". Some people believe this to be true, that there are not as many pilots or people who want to be pilots as there used to be. Others will argue that there is no shortage of people who want to be pilots, just a shortage of people willing to put up with low pay for pilot's work. I tend to sit on the fence on this topic, as I believe that it is actually a bit of both. For the sake of argument, I will side on the "there is a pilot shortage" team.

I will concede that it feels like we've been "just a few years away from a huge pilot shortage" for about 10 years now. That "there is a massive bubble about to burst causing pilot shortages across the nation". Even though we have been hearing things like this for 7-8 years now, some of the effects can already be felt, especially for the regional carriers. I tend to believe that we are experiencing more of a molasses spill than an actual bubble 'popping', if you will. Events like 9/11 started off by causing a massive slowdown/shutdown of the aviation industry. Many pilots were furloughed. Many left of their own accord. Many chose not to return when the aviation industry started picking back up in the wake of the attacks. This started the ball rolling towards the current pilot shortage. In the early-mid 2000's, the 'glory days' of being an airline pilot were long gone. It was a rough and gritty time, with not much money to be made, especially if you were at a regional carrier, or didn't carry much seniority. Or worse, low ranking and at a regional carrier.

Both sides of the argument have valid points. The regional carrier system, as it is now, is all kinds of hectic. With the mandated retirement age and many of the baby boomer pilots working their way out of the system, there are many seats to be filled. More so than can be filled by current regional pilots. This leaves the regional carriers in a tough spot, because even fewer pilots are trickling in from schools and other forms of recruitment. According to a study done by the University of North Dakota's Aviation department, the pilot deficit will rise to 15,000 or more by 2026 (Bloomberg, 2016). That is 15,000 empty seats in exactly ten years. The dip is expected to start showing itself in the next year to 3 years. This is where the physical lack of bodies comes into play.

Now, where the pay shortage comes into play is in a lot of the regional airlines. Almost everyone in the industry knows that a regional airline gig is pretty much just something you use as a stepping stone to the next step in your career. You know it. The airlines know it. As a result, pay is kept lower. By cutting costs, including employee (read: pilot) wages, ticket prices can also be kept lower for the customer. But how low is too low? As of 2014, the Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA) estimated that the average pay for a regional first officer was $22,500 per year (Fortune, 2014). Now, when broken down to hourly earnings per 40 hour work week, this comes out to roughly $10.75 per hour. I don't know about you, but I was earning that kind of money working as an assistant manager at a retail store in high school. No wonder it's becoming difficult to find people who want to sign their lives away for 2-3 years for peanuts. 

One of the biggest reasons I feel like we see a pilot shortage right now is the absurdly low rate of pay in the lower rungs of the industry. On one hand, the old heads will chime in with a 'pay your dues' speech, which I understand. But on the other hand, pay for a first officer in today's world should not be able to be beat by a high-schooler working at a hardware store. People are starting to see exactly what young, starting pilots make, and are either pursuing other aviation paths that promise more benefit up front, or they're getting scared away from aviation entirely. I think that in order to fix this problem, regional airlines need to suck up some of the cost and up the pay for their pilots. Luckily, it seems that most of them are slowly getting this hint, especially since the crash of Colgan Flight 3407 was so closely linked to overworked/underpaid crew.

Many of the regional airlines, especially ones that directly feed the major carriers, have bumped their starting pay as of 2015. The average starting pay for regional airlines has slowly worked its way from the $20K per year range, up to the $50K per year, plus benefits (WSJ, 2016). While this isn't true for all regional airlines, this is definitely a much more comfortable number, and a number that is much more indicative of what a competent pilot (in partial control of a tube full of lives, after all) should be making. The general trend does seem to show pay going up though, which in the end, is good for everybody.

While ALPA is a great organization for any airline pilot to be a part of, it is only one of many organizations that exist to further the aviation industry as a whole. One other such organization is the General Aviation Manufacturers Association. While ALPA exists to cover the butts of airline pilots all over, GAMA exists to help manufacturers and operators of smaller, general aviation equipment (GAMA, 2016).

Professionalism, in my own words, would be a mentality that one takes on for their career. It is a mentality that drives them to perform their job duties in the most expeditious and judicious manner possible, and to do so competently, and with an end goal of furthering themselves and those around them in the process. 

Two ways in which I would say professionalism lacked heavily leading to the crash of Colgan Flight 3407 would be the First Officer's decision to take the flight sick, first and foremost. While she made the decision based on poor pay and trying to save herself some money, she should have known that she was not fit to fly and taken that day off. She also was deathly afraid to fly in icing conditions, so maybe her flying through icing for the first time while she was sick wasn't the best idea... Secondly, the trans-cockpit authority between the Captain and the First Officer seemed to be almost nonexistent. Sterile cockpit procedures were not practiced, and conversation between the two was almost all non-pertinent up until the accident started to develop. This is not to excuse Colgan management. They definitely made more than a handful of decisions as a company that led to these overworked pilots slipping through the cracks. But I believe that 3407 was mostly caused by a complete breakdown of communication and failure to rely on training in the cockpit.

2 ways I plan on expanding my professionalism in the job market after I graduate will be to (1) study the mistakes of those around me. "Know thy enemy". My enemy is a crash. By doing all I can to learn from the mistakes around me, I will hopefully maintain an air of professionalism that allows me to not make those same mistakes, or any new ones. Also, I plan on (2) maintaining a mental on/off switch of when to have fun and when to be serious and in control. In many of the accident recordings you can find on Youtube, there is often a good amount of non-pertinent conversation leading up to the crash. This takes your attention away from the stimuli around you, and can cause a lapse in judgement or attention, allowing just enough time for an irrecoverable accident to develop. Situational awareness is key in this profession, and complacency kills. No one should know that more than a pilot.




References:

Bloomberg - Schlangenstein, M., & Sasso, M. (2016, June 29). Shrinking Pool of Future Pilots Keeps Major Airlines on Edge. Retrieved November 20, 2016, from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-29/shrinking-pool-of-future-pilots-keeps-major-airlines-on-edge

Fortune - Zillman, C. (2014). Why airlines are running out of pilots. Retrieved November 20, 2016, from http://fortune.com/2014/03/03/why-airlines-are-running-out-of-pilots/

WSJ - Carey, S. (2016, November 06). Pilot Shortage Prompts Regional Airlines to Boost Starting Wages. Retrieved November 20, 2016, from http://www.wsj.com/articles/pilot-shortage-prompts-regional-airlines-to-boost-starting-wages-1478473042

GAMA - About GAMA | GAMA - General Aviation Manufacturers Association. (n.d.). Retrieved November 20, 2016, from https://www.gama.aero/about-us

Final In-Class Blog


Comac C919 Cockpit Interior


For my final in-class blog post, I have decided to revisit the subject of Comac. Specifically, their aircraft production woes and lofty dreams of a U.S. FAA certification for either of their airframes. Initially I wrote in support of the Comac program, and was hopeful for their progress. I also lightly touched on a very similar program starting up in Russia, the Irkut MC-21 Regional Jet. However, after a little further research on both of the programs, I may have to rescind my hopeful tone. While I still do hope that both programs eventually come forth as legitimate competitors who deliver a safe and reliable product; I have to admit that when presented with new facts, I concede that it may not happen as fast as I had initially thought/hoped, if it happens at all.

The 2 different Comac programs have both been met with many setbacks. The smaller, regional jet design (ARJ-21) has already been put into production and has actually flown several commercial service flights within China (for an airline that is a subsidiary of Comac itself, go figure). However, the more highly touted program, the larger C919, hasn’t even left the ground on a test flight yet. The ARJ program went almost a decade over schedule by the time it actually took off on a service route. The C919 looks as if it will take at least that, very likely more. Another huge issue that Comac faces, if it truly desires to be a competitor to Boeing and Airbus, is its volume and production capabilities. Despite having the ARJ-21 in service already, only 6 of them have been produced since 2008, only one of them actually delivered for service. As of right now, Comac has claimed to have almost 350 orders in for the ARJ-21, but with a 6-planes-per-8-year timetable, who knows how many of those orders will actually come to see light. Compare this production time to Boeing’s average output of 6 completed 737’s (bigger airplane) every 36 hours (Vice, 2016). Also compare order numbers of a measly 350 for a regional jet, when even Bombardier and Embraer handle order numbers in the thousands. Obviously something will have to change drastically before Comac can consider themselves a true competitor to Boeing or Airbus. On top of the already unreasonably slow production issue, the current estimates indicate that Chinese airlines alone will need more than 6,000 airplanes between 2014 and 2034 (Vice, 2016). Something at the Comac production line needs to change in order for it to hope to meet those estimates.

Continuing to build on the ARJ-21 struggles, we have a plane that doesn’t seem to push the envelope in any category. In fact, it is a plane that seems to be decades out of date before it even leaves the factory. Visually, it looks very similar to an MD-80 or a late run DC-9. So right out of the gate, Comac has started off by making their ‘brand new’ regional jet the spitting image of a 50 year-old discontinued American jet. That doesn’t set the tone very well. A lot of the components inside the aircraft are also either outdated, or just borrowed from other pre-existing airframes. The engines are General Electric CF-34 turbofans; and the electronics and avionics are all made by American based companies that already supply the same components to other manufacturers (Vice, 2016). The only thing that really makes the ARJ-21 “Chinese” is the construction of the nose cone, the empennage, and the final assembly all happening in China. Almost nothing in the airplane is actually ‘new’, and because of that Comac can only barely claim to having ‘designed’ a new jet. From design to production the ARJ-21 was delayed over a decade. Eight years’ time passed between the first test flights and the ARJ-21 actually entering service. Compare this to Boeing’s latest jewel, the 787, which needed less than 2 years from first test flight to the first delivery for service (Vice, 2016). It is worth noting the difference, both in physical size and aeronautical complexity, between the 787 and the ARJ-21. Boeing launched a much larger and much more complex aircraft in less than a third of the time.

All this being said, the Chinese have managed to put together a functioning and (so far) safe airplane that has performed its duties in service without fail. Although with the first commercial ARJ-21 flight occurring on June 28th, 2016, not much can be said for a 6-month track record of safety in the aviation industry. There is still a very long, and very arduous road ahead for Comac. Especially if they have dreams of the C919 battling the 737 and the A320 for dominance in the skies.

Putting together all we know about the ARJ-21 program, it leaves us with a pretty gloomy picture of what to expect for the C919. The C919 is designed to compete with the Boeing and Airbus wide-body models 737 and A320, respectively. While the idea is sound, and competition is almost always good for business, I believe the issues that Comac has already faced will prove to be too much. The C919 hasn’t even flown a test flight yet. Comac initially wanted to make delivery of the C919 to customers by 2016. Now it’s looking like they will be able to conduct taxi tests within a matter of weeks, and they might get the first aircraft in the air for test flights by the second quarter of 2017. Comac’s new hope is to make deliveries to customers some time in 2019 (USAT, 2016). However, given the delays that the ARJ-21 saw after its first test flight, I feel like we may not see the C919 in the skies for another decade, possibly longer, other than a test flight.

The one good thing that Comac has going for it is the fact that they are government created and owned (Fortune, 2016), which means funding is essentially limitless. This helps Comac because Chinese built aircraft is a goal that the entire Chinese government wants to see come to fruition. Another pro for Comac, at least in the Chinese market, is that Chengdu Airways is a subsidiary of Comac, and most of their other customers are state-owned (Fortune, 2016). Chengdu Airways is the company that bought the 1st ARJ-21 and has orders for 30 more. This means that Comac has at least one set customer for when and if they ever get the C919 off the ground.

The biggest hurdle yet to face Comac, if they truly want to compete with Boeing and Airbus, is the United States Federal Aviation Administration certification to do so. The ARJ-21 is not certified to fly in American skies with its current specifications, and can actually only fly in Chinese skies or countries that recognize the authority of the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) (Loyalty, 2015). The ARJ didn’t even obtain CAAC certification for over 13 years after its design release. Now, with the C919 already being 3+ years behind schedule and not even being off the ground yet, CAAC certification is but a distant dream. Even more distant is the FAA certification. Comac will need to figure out how to increase their testing and production times, make a plane with new and better specifications, and urge the Chinese government for better relations between CAAC and FAA governing bodies (Reuters, 2016), before it can hope to obtain FAA certification for either of its aircraft. As it is, the CAAC gave certification to the ARJ-21 without FAA approval. While this doesn’t break any laws or codes of conduct, the two governing bodies of aviation usually try to work together. This was seen as a setback between U.S. and China aviation cooperation (Reuters, 2016).  Slightly worrisome considering Chinese-U.S. aviation cooperation is seen as one of the most outstanding achievements since the U.S. and Chinese governments re-established diplomatic relations in 1979 (Reuters, 2016).

     ‘"It could be seen as a loss of face for the Chinese given they deem FAA certification a key rite of passage for what will be the first domestically built jet to enter commercial service," said Greg Waldron, Asia managing editor at Flightglobal, an industry news and data service. (Rueters, 2016)


Overall, I don’t see Comac being awarded FAA certification to fly its aircraft within U.S. borders any time soon. There is a lot of speculation as to whether that is because of more stringent rules from the FAA, or whether it is because of some schoolyard-like bullying because of the CAAC and FAA situation. No real evidence can be provided either way, but the fact remains that without the FAA certification, no Comac aircraft will be seen above U.S. soil. However, the FAA certification is one of the last things that Comac needs to worry about. They don’t have their “big dog” in the C919 even remotely ready to start building and making deliveries. And even the aircraft they do have, the ARJ-21, they can’t seem to build enough of them to worry about anything but the Chinese market for now. After further research from my initial post on this topic, I would say that I have switched my stance. I used to be hopeful, because I am always one who loves to see competition in business. After seeing new data, I just can’t bring myself to believe that Comac will be a real player in the world aircraft manufacturing business within the next 50+ years, if ever. Boeing and Airbus haven’t even bothered to respond other than to roll out new and updated aircraft that would have rolled out on a similar timeline anyways. I can’t say I fault them for not even raising a brow at companies like Comac quite yet, at least not until they prove that they are a real threat.





Resources:

Vice - Riva, A. (2016, June 28). China just flew its first passenger jet - and it's a clunker | VICE News. Retrieved December 11, 2016, from https://news.vice.com/article/china-just-flew-its-first-passenger-jetand-its-a-clunker

USAT - Mutzabaugh, B. (2016, June 30). Now flying: China's first modern passenger jet enters service. Retrieved December 11, 2016, from http://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/flights/todayinthesky/2016/06/30/now-flying-chinas-first-modern-passenger-jet-enters-service/86549178/

Fortune - Cendrowski, S. (2016, February 16). China’s Answer To Boeing Loses Shine. Retrieved December 12, 2016, from http://fortune.com/2016/02/16/china-comac-c919-delay-delivery/

Loyalty - Powell, S. (2015, November 09). China's COMAC C919 Aircraft Running Behind Schedule - First Commercial Flight Not Before 2019 | LoyaltyLobby. Retrieved December 13, 2016, from http://loyaltylobby.com/2015/11/09/chinas-comac-c919-aircraft-running-behind-schedule-first-commercial-flight-not-before-2019/

Reuters - Govindasamy, S., & Miller, M. (2015, October 21). Exclusive: China-made regional jet set for delivery, but no U.S. certification. Retrieved December 13, 2016, from http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-aircraft-arj21-exclusive-idUSKCN0SF2XN20151021

Photo Credit - http://jetsettimes.com/2015/11/05/can-chinas-c919-be-the-next-boeing-737/

Friday, December 9, 2016

Job Plans and Course Review

Going into this class earlier this fall, my main "plans" so to speak were to just make it through the course. It is little to no secret to both my classmates and my instructors/advisers that I have had issues maintaining my progress through the program for the past few years. Thanks to outside familial and personal issues, my progress at Eastern had stagnated and I had found myself adrift with no means of propulsion. I think that this is the semester that has helped me regain my footing on my academic career, and I am very thankful and happy to have found this new motivation and drive. I started the semester just wanting to finish. But now, after a whole semester of group discussions and guest speakers, I have a much better idea of what I would like my career to actually become. I still have not made a specific decision on one career path, but I think I will be better off in the near future for keeping my doors open. Thanks to several of the guest speakers we had, I now know about many career options that I would have never thought about, didn't think were possible, or just straight up didn't know existed.

The group setting of this class definitely helped me to open up and haves some discussion with my fellow classmates that I definitely would not have had otherwise. Usually, I am very much a person to 'go to class, take notes, go home', without much of a discussion with those around me. This class forced me to open up and discuss. I think that helped me a lot, especially with the networking side of the industry.

As of right now, my 'action plan' for graduating is to simply get there. I still have quite a bit of flying ahead of me as well as at least one full semester of classroom time for some gen-eds. All in all, I do plan on finishing up the flight aspect and trying to secure a flight instruction job either at Eagle or at a few other airports around the state that are closer to some of my family members. I also have a friend who does some surveying and crop dusting operations in the Iowa and Indiana area. He has been bugging me about finishing school because he is looking for some help as well. That is definitely a pathway I'd like to explore.

But to be honest, I can't say I have a to-the-T 5 year plan on the books. My main goals right now are to right the half-sunken ship that I left myself slip into, and to finish the handful of classes I have left.

Of all the topics we talked about, I think the most useful was the ANG/civilian hire topic. Not necessarily for what it was, but because that was the topic that most opened my eyes to the variety of aviation related jobs that are out there. I had no idea that a job like that was even a possibility. For future classes, I think it would be awesome if we were to hear from more people that have taken the unlikely/path less traveled career routes in the aviation world. At the flight center, the main mantra seems to be "Airlines or Bust". And that's great, but I can't say that it's super exciting to feel like I'm being bred for Delta. I'm not really one who thinks that a career for a major sounds all that thrilling. I mean beggars can't be choosers, and I will certainly take the opportunities that present themselves to me, but I can't say that left seating for a major is my career end goal. I would personally love to go fly bush in Alaska, or do survey flights or some other kind of more remote, small business flying.

Of all the topics we talked about, I think the absolute worst one was the flight instruction lady. It is certainly wonderful to hear from someone who has thoroughly enjoyed her career and has made a living doing something other than flying regionals and trying to climb up to a major, but I also don't like that we basically sat listening to this person stroke their ego for an hour and a half. More time was spent listening to her ramble about her accomplishments and why she's so great than was actually discussed about what made her career route something that up and coming students should look into. If she could rework her presentation, I think it could be a very useful presentation for Management students and flight students like myself who are considering flight paths away from the airlines. Otherwise, it just came across as a "look at me, I'm so cool" presentation.

Overall, this class has been an absolute blast. I am very thankful to have been a part of this class and with these classmates. I look forward to seeing all of you beautiful Eagles out there in the skies in the future.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Aviation Organizations

     Many organizations exist within the aviation industry. Some of which have different purposes, but all of which have the same main end goal: the advancement of the industry and those that work within the industry. Of the many aviation oriented organizations that exist, I see a definite advantage to being a part of AOPA (Aircraft Owner's and Pilots Association), and the Air Traffic Control Association, especially from the pilot side of the coin. I am sure that other organizations will also come into play (unions, special interest groups, etc.) during my career as well, but I think that AOPA is one that does a very good job of being as all-encompassing as they can be without over-reaching their bounds. AOPA appears to have minimal bias in the way they conduct their business, and they seem to genuinely exist to serve the members. As for the Air Traffic Control Association, I think it is very important, in any industry, to know as much about the industry as possible if you wish to be truly successful. In the aviation industry, this means that pilots should have at least a basic understanding of the management and Air Traffic Control side of the operations and how ATC's think and operate. Likewise, ATC's should have a basic understanding of flight characteristics and how pilots think and operate.

     Starting with the Aircraft Owner's and Pilots Association (henceforth referred to as 'AOPA'), their self written mission statement is to "Protect your freedom to fly by...


  • advocating on behalf of our members,
  • educating pilots, nonpilots, and policy makers alike,
  • supporting activities that ensure the long-term health of General Aviation,
  • fighting to keep General Aviation accessible to all, and
  • securing sufficient resources to ensure our success."
(AOPA, 2016)

I have been a member of AOPA for close to 3 years now, and while I have reached out for their services very minimally, I have never felt like they don't hold true to their mission statement. AOPA has a very large network of pilots across the nation, and they treat the highest ranking major captain much the same they treat your average Joe who beats the pattern on weekends. AOPA offers many services to its members, from sharing up to date news and stories on what is happening in the aviation industry, information on how to become a pilot, where to get certain ratings, and even pilot protection services with access to aviation specific attorneys and medical defense plans. (AOPAPP, 2016)

     The Air Traffic Control Association exists to both provide an understanding of current Air Traffic Control operations and equipment, but also to further the science of ATC. The Air Traffic Control Association is a huge proponent of the transition we are currently witnessing to NextGen. The ATCA has existed since 1956 with the goal of preservation of safe flight (ATCA, 2016). Again, this goes back to knowing both sides of the coin. If you want to be successful, you must know as much as you can about all aspects of the industry. Who wants to keep the flights safer than the pilots, the guys actually on board that flight? To have the ATCA and its members on the ground making sure planes are able to fly in and out of airports as efficiently and safely as possible is something that helps pilots have confidence in sticky situations. To also have the same organization pushing to bring the ancient WWII era ATC system up to date is also exciting, because it only stands to further improve the efficiency of enplanements, deplanements, and turn around time for aircraft on the ground. After all, aircraft on the ground aren't making any money. This usually means that the crew also isn't making any money.

     Overall, I think it is and will continue to be important to be a member of at least these two organizations for any pilot who wishes to fly professionally. They are both organization that exist to help support facets of the industry that you will deal with every single work day. So why not be a part of the group and the discussion? Why not have your voice be heard when you feel something is wrong? Why not make use of the vast resources that are available to you for a fairly meager annual fee? There is much to be gained by being a member of these, and other, aviation based organizations, and much more to lose if you are stuck between a rock and a hard place without the support of these groups.




References:

ATCA - ATCA. (n.d.). About Us. Retrieved November 29, 2016, from http://www.atca.org/about-us

AOPA - AOPA. (n.d.). AOPA's Mission, Vision and Values. Retrieved November 29, 2016, from https://www.aopa.org/about/mission-vision-and-values

AOPAPP - AOPA. (n.d.). AOPA Pilot Protection Services. Retrieved November 29, 2016, from https://pilot-protection-services.aopa.org/

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Aviation Emissions

(Photo courtesy: http://www.climateobserver.org)


     Ever since tracking and reducing carbon emissions has become a major concern for humanity, the aviation industry and aviation emissions have been called into question. And rightly so, if the human population wishes to continue living and populating this earth, we must take care of it. Currently the global aviation industry is responsible for about 2% of overall human-induced carbon emissions per year (ATAG, 2016). While it may not seem like a significant figure, 2% of all human-induced carbon emissions over the span of one year is roughly equal to 781 Million (metric) Tonnes (ATAG, 2016). Although this may seem like a massive problem, jet aircraft that are in service today are almost 80% more fuel efficient than aircraft that were in service in the 1960's. Emissions are also expected to drop by another 50% by the year 2050 as well (ATAG, 2016). As well, when broken down by liters of fuel used per passenger per 100 kilometers, newest generation aircraft like the Boeing 787 and Airbus A380 both come extremely close to 3 liters of fuel burned for each passenger over a distance of 100 kilometers. Other aircraft like the ATR-600 and Bombardier C-Series also come very close to this rather astonishingly low number. This 3 liters per passenger per 100 kilometers is actually competitive with many modern compact "fuel efficient" cars (ATAG, 2016). It should also be noted that while aviation emissions account for 2% of all human-induced carbon emissions per year, this number accounts for 12% of carbon emissions from all transport sources. This is still paled in comparison to road traffic however, which makes up 74% of carbon emissions from transport sources (ATAG, 2016). Somewhat shockingly (at least for me), aviation is vastly more fuel efficient and cleaner burning than the billions of cars that occupy the world's roads every day.

     Quite recently (Thursday, October 6th, 2016 to be exact), the United Nations Aviation arm ratified an agreement to corral current international airline flight emissions to help fight global warming. The agreement was almost unanimously passed, and serves to lay a baseline by which airlines and airplane manufacturers can try to track their growth and emissions as they work to reduce greenhouse gasses. The first phase of the UN airline agreement is 100% voluntary, and will span from 2021 to 2027. In the second phase, beginning in 2028 and going through 2035, compliance with the UN airline agreement will be mandatory (US News, 2016). Currently, there are some countries still trying to determine if they will participate in the voluntary first phase. Russia has already opted out. Of course Russia already opted out. How fitting. What the UN airline agreement serves to do is cut aviation emissions by limiting the amount of CO2 that can be discharged per year by airline companies. This is done by allowing a certain amount of carbon 'credits' that are spent when CO2 is discharged into the air. Once an airline has spent all of their carbon credits, they will be forced to 'buy' carbon credits from other industries or projects that exist to limit greenhouse gasses in an attempt to maintain a positive or net-zero balance on their carbon credit account. This will force airlines to limit runs, buy more fuel efficient and lower emission planes, and buy from other industries, thus also stimulating local and global economies (US News, 2016). All this while directly or indirectly slashing the amount of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses that are released into the environment every year.


     Another recent UN agreement that has gone into effect which also concerns overall global emissions. The Paris Climate Change Agreement will attempt to curb global emission discharge and will provide funding and other aid to help countries that may not have the means to trim emissions on their own (Guardian, 2016). The Paris agreement serves to try to prevent and eventually reverse the growing climate change event that has made global temperatures trend upwards. The magic (though tragic and catastrophic) number is 2 degrees Celsius. It is widely accepted that once this overall 2 degree shift has been hit, the major impacts of global warming will be irreversible (Guardian, 2016). Without bringing political affiliation into the picture, I believe that the newly elected administration will not affect the workings of the Paris Agreement in almost any aspect. During his campaign, he did what any other politician does, and what his opponent did, and said whatever he needed to garner votes from his target demographic. Already he has proven to go back on a few things that he said he would do. I expect the US' involvement in the Paris Agreement to be no different. It is something that has been worked on between many countries for many years. The Obama administration has been toiling over the workings of the Paris agreement since 2009, when a similar global warming meeting was held in Copenhagen. This one ended in disastrous chaos with nothing being accomplished. Now that science has taken a foothold and proven exactly what humanity is dealing with, I expect the advisors of the Trump administration to urge him to continue the US' involvement with the Paris Global Warming Agreement. 


     Overall, I would say that I am happy to see that global greenhouse gas emissions are a concern large enough to warrant at least some investigation, but I believe that the aviation industry doesn't need to be under quite as much scrutiny as it currently is. Aviation accounts for a very small fraction of travel based CO2 emissions, and there are much more effective ways to reduce greenhouse gasses than to target airplanes, which are already more than 4 times more efficient and clean than they were just 40 years ago. Compare this to the millions more cars and trucks on the road that are barely twice as efficient (on average) as they were 40 years ago. Not to mention that airplanes carry hundreds more people than a car, or even a bus, can. Planes can reach farther distances and do so in a more expeditious manner. I completely agree that greenhouse gas emissions need to be slashed, and I agree that the aviation industry can always push the boundaries to get better and reduce CO2 emissions in house. However I do not agree that the aviation industry should be scrutinized so heavily, and I believe that we, as a human species, can restrict CO2 emissions in many other areas before we start going after an industry that has already made much more progress than almost any other industry out there. 






References:

ATAG - ATAG. (2016, May). Facts & Figures. Retrieved November 18, 2016, from http://www.atag.org/facts-and-figures.html


US News - Lowy, J. (2016, October 6). UN Agreement Reached on Aircraft Climate-Change Emissions. Retrieved November 19, 2016, from http://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2016-10-06/un-agreement-reached-on-aircraft-climate-change-emissions


Guardian - Harvey, F. (2015). Paris Climate Change Agreement: The World's Greatest Diplomatic Success. Retrieved November 19, 2016, from https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/13/paris-climate-deal-cop-diplomacy-developing-united-nations


Photo source: http://climateobserver.org/agreement-tackle-international-aviation-emissions/

Friday, November 4, 2016

Global Airlines - Fair For All?

     Open Skies Agreements are put in place between two or more countries to allow relatively free flowing air operations between airlines and cargo carriers from each of the countries that are involved. They are designed so that an airline that is a part of the Open Skies Agreement can land on foreign soil (as long as that country is also part of the OSA) with minimal to no interference or interrogation from the airport or the government. One of the current Open Skies Agreements that is under a bit of heat is the OSA that exists between the United States and the United Arab Emirates. The airlines that are involved in this OSA are Delta, American, and United (US), and Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar (UAE). The issue that has caused all the squabbling comes down to competition that some American air carriers say can't be contested because of large government subsidies.

     The Big 3 US airlines are all claiming that Emirates and Etihad in particular receive government subsidies that are large enough to allow them to charge prices so low that the American carriers simply can't compete with it. The American carriers claim that the Gulf carriers received nearly $42 Billion in subsidies from their respective governments (National, 2016). The Americans also claim that these subsidies enable the Gulf carriers to allow "better standards of service, scheduling advantages, and ticket prices." (National, 2016). One of the big issues with the American carriers throwing around "government subsidies" as their main argument for not being able to compete with the Gulf Big 3, is that they seem to forget that they themselves receive very handsome subsidy funds from the US government for things like Essential Air Service, which provides mandatory air service to smaller markets that the airlines would normally lose money on, as well as the bank bailouts and bankruptcy proceedings that took place in the Great Recession of the mid 2000's. On top of all of this, US air carriers in general received nearly $155 Billion in government subsidies between 1918 and 1998 (Skift, 2015). So what has all that money gone towards?

     One other major hurdle that seem to get in the way of the American Big 3 is the Export-Import bank, which guarantees loans to foreign companies buying US products when private sector lenders can't or won't accept the risk the credit line (Bloomberg, 2016). While this is good for American jobs, as it promotes the export of American made goods, it hurts the American Big 3 air carriers, because foreign airlines (like the Gulf 3) can purchase American aircraft with a guaranteed loan through a low default, low interest lending agency that is backed by the US government. The Gulf 3 are already the largest buyers of Boeing aircraft in the world, especially in the long range market. Emirates and Etihad have already bought models of the Boeing 787 and 777X in a volume that leaves the American carriers in the dust (National, 2016).

     Overall, I would personally say that the American 3 have a valid argument about some of the issues currently going on, but they also need to buck up and change with the times in other areas. The Export-Import Bank did have a 5-month shut down after its charter expired on June 30, 2015, but it was brought back to life as part of the FAST Act that was signed into law by President Obama on December 4, 2015. This new charter will reauthorize the Export-Import Bank to operate through September 30, 2019 (Democrats, 2016). While I do believe the Export-Import bank structure may give an unfair advantage to foreign purchasers, and probably should be amended for such large purchases as aircraft (the aviation industry is the single largest customer of the Export-Import bank, after all), I don't believe it will solely affect the American carriers enough to where they cannot compete. As is, the American 3 and the Gulf 3 only actually compete head to head on 2 routes, of the 1700+ routes that exist in the US (National, 2016). I would say that if American carriers really want to compete, perhaps they should dig into their year-in and year-out record profits and figure out a way to better scheduling times, lower ticket costs, and increase the level of experience that customers feel both on the aircraft and in airports.




Resources:

National - McAuley, A. (2016, July 26). Victory for Gulf Airlines as US Government Ends Open Skies Row With No Further Action. Retrieved November 03, 2016, from http://www.thenational.ae/business/aviation/victory-for-gulf-airlines-as-us-government-ends-open-skies-row-with-no-further-action#full

Skift - Schaal, D. (2015, April 09). WikiLeaks Disclosure Shows U.S. Airlines Received Billions in Subsidies. Retrieved November 04, 2016, from https://skift.com/2015/04/09/wikileaks-disclosure-shows-u-s-airlines-received-billions-in-subsidies/

Democrats - The Ex-Im Bank: Back in Business. (2016). Retrieved November 04, 2016, from http://democrats.financialservices.house.gov/issues/extending-import-export-bank-charter.htm

Bloomberg - Export-Import Bank of the United States: Private Company Information. (2016). Retrieved November 04, 2016, from http://www.bloomberg.com/research/stocks/private/snapshot.asp?privcapid=6369571